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Advisor(s)
Abstract(s)
This Special Issue was honored with six contribution papers embracing the subject of tourism forecasting. The papers focused on forecasting tourism demand in the USA, Vienna—Austria, Vietnam, Marrakech-Safi region of Morocco, Dubai, and China. The time series were spread from tourism interest in the USA, hotel room demand in Vienna, number of tourists in Vietnam, annual tourist arrivals to the Marrakech-Safi region of Morocco, tourist arrivals to Dubai from the UK and the daily and weekly number of passengers at urban rail transit stations in China. The used datasets, in some cases, included thepandemic period, which was a severe challenge for the forecasting models. The forecasting models used embrace the following parameters: descriptive analysis techniques, seasonal naïve, Error Trend Seasonal (ETS), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA), Trigonometric Seasonality, Box–Cox Transformation, ARMA Errors, Trend and Seasonal Components (TBATS), Seasonal Neural Network Autoregression (Seasonal NNAR), Seasonal NNAR with an external regressor, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) forecasting model, ARIMA, AR, linear regression, Support Vector Regression (SVR), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) models, ensemble models, Box–Jenkins time series models, and the Facebook Prophet algorithm.
Description
Keywords
Tourism forecasting COVID-19 Thepandemic period
Citation
Teixeira, João Paulo; Gunter, Ulrich (2023). Tourism forecasting: time-series analysis of world and regional data. Forecasting. 5:1, p. 210 - 212
Publisher
Forecasting