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The effects of climate change on the potential distribution of a frugivorous fish in the Amazon basin

2025Journal article Open access
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datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências Biológicas
datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências da Terra e do Ambiente
datacite.subject.sdg13:Ação Climática
datacite.subject.sdg14:Proteger a Vida Marinha
datacite.subject.sdg15:Proteger a Vida Terrestre
datacite.subject.sdg04:Educação de Qualidade
dc.contributor.authorOliveira, Ana Carolina Farias de
dc.contributor.authorSpirlandelli, Felipe Pacheco
dc.contributor.authorSeripieri, Vitor Henrique Mistro
dc.contributor.authorLino, André Luiz Ramos
dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, João C.
dc.contributor.authorYofukuji, Katia
dc.contributor.authorSouza, Beatriz Cristina de Paula
dc.contributor.authorPontara, Vanessa
dc.contributor.authorBueno, Marcelo Leandro
dc.contributor.authorEsser, Luiz Fernando
dc.contributor.authorGraça, Weferson Júnio da
dc.contributor.authorFerreira, José Hilário Delconte
dc.contributor.authorRé, Reginaldo
dc.contributor.authorBailly, Dayani
dc.contributor.authorBatista-Silva, Valéria Flávia
dc.date.accessioned2025-12-16T18:36:48Z
dc.date.available2025-12-16T18:36:48Z
dc.date.issued2025
dc.description.abstractWe assessed the effects of climate change on the geographic distribution of Piaractus brachypomus Cuvier (1818), a species of economic interest in the Amazon basin, using ecological niche models. We employed a set of five algorithms under the ensemble forecasting approach to predict the geographic distribution of the species in the present and in the future considering different carbon emission scenarios. The projections indicate that a large portion of the Amazon basin presents suitable areas for P. brachypomus, with moderate reduction of these areas in the near future. By 2090, under the pessimistic scenario, losses intensify, and the most drastic contractions are projected for the Branco, Japurá, Mamoré, Negro, and Purus sub-basins, while by the end of the century, suitable areas are predicted to occur mainly in rivers of the southwestern and central Amazon regions. The gain of suitable areas was smaller compared to the proportion of stable areas and losses. These results provide valuable information for the development of effective conservation plans with the intent of ensuring the ecological and economic benefits that P. brachypomus provides in the Amazon basin.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipThe research was funded by the ForestFisher project through the 2020–2021 Biodiversa and Water Joint Programming Initiatives (JPI) joint call for research projects, under the BiodivRestore European Research Area Network (ERA-NET) Cofund (GA nº 101003777), with the European Union and the funding organizations: Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR, France), Fundação para Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT, Portugal), Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, Germany), Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Amazonas (FAPEAM, Brazil), and Fundação de Apoio ao Desenvolvimento do Ensino, Ciência e Tecnologia do Estado de Mato Grosso do Sul (FUNDECT, Brazil—Process 71/001.913/2022). National funding (Portugal) was provided by FCT through the individual research grant (UI/BD/153690/2022) of FPS and a project grant of KYY. National funding (Brazil) was provided by the Fundação Araucária for the postdoctoral fellowship of LFE and by the Programa Institucional de Bolsas de Pós-Graduação (PIBAP, UEMS) for the postgraduate fellowship of BCPS. MLB and WJG were funded by the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq, Brazil) through research productivity fellowships. ALRL received funding through a research initiation grant under the EU SMURF project (HORIZON-CL6-2023-CIRCBI-01). This research was partially supported by national funds (Portugal) through FCT/MCTES (PIDDAC): CIMO, UIDB/00690/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDB/00690/2020) and UIDP/00690/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDP/00690/2020); and SusTEC, LA/P/0007/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0007/2020).
dc.identifier.citationDe Oliveira, Ana Carolina Farias; Spirlandelli, Felipe Pacheco; Seripieri, Vitor Henrique Mistro; Lino, Andre Luiz Ramos; Azevedo, João Carlos; Yofukuji, Karia Yasuko; Souza, Beatriz Cristina de Paula; Pontara, Vanessa; Bueno, Marcelo, Leandro; Esser, Luiz Fernando; Da Graça, Weferson Junio; Ferreira, Jose Hilario Delconte; Ré Reginaldo; Baily, Dayani; Batista-Silva, Valeria Flavia (2025). The effects of climate change on the potential distribution of a frugivorous fish in the Amazon basin. Hydrobiologia. ISSN 1573-5117. 350:6 p. 1-17
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10750-025-06048-0
dc.identifier.issn0018-8158
dc.identifier.issn1573-5117
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/35249
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherSpringer
dc.relationMountain Research Center
dc.relationMountain Research Center
dc.relationAssociate Laboratory for Sustainability and Tecnology in Mountain Regions
dc.relation.ispartofHydrobiologia
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.subjectEcological niche modeling
dc.subjectConservation strategies
dc.subjectPotential distribution
dc.subjectPiaractus brachypomus
dc.titleThe effects of climate change on the potential distribution of a frugivorous fish in the Amazon basineng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleMountain Research Center
oaire.awardTitleMountain Research Center
oaire.awardTitleAssociate Laboratory for Sustainability and Tecnology in Mountain Regions
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F00690%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00690%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/LA%2FP%2F0007%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.endPage17
oaire.citation.issue6
oaire.citation.startPage1
oaire.citation.titleHydrobiologia
oaire.citation.volume350
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameOliveira
person.familyNameSpirlandelli
person.familyNameSeripieri
person.familyNameLino
person.familyNameAzevedo
person.familyNameYofukuji
person.givenNameAna Carolina Farias de
person.givenNameFelipe Pacheco
person.givenNameVitor Henrique Mistro
person.givenNameAndré Luiz Ramos
person.givenNameJoão C.
person.givenNameKatia
person.identifier.ciencia-idD514-2BA7-A4B3
person.identifier.ciencia-idC613-94F1-694A
person.identifier.ciencia-id3F1F-0829-5878
person.identifier.ciencia-id0817-A94E-C95A
person.identifier.orcid0009-0006-6098-0524
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7550-1163
person.identifier.orcid0009-0006-6265-0377
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-4592-3488
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3061-8261
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-0889-7524
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
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