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Trajectories and drivers signalling the end of agricultural abandonment in Trás-os-Montes, Portugal

2024Journal article Open access
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dc.contributor.authorImbrechts, Lien
dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, João
dc.contributor.authorVerburg, Peter
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-07T14:47:18Z
dc.date.available2024-11-07T14:47:18Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.description.abstractAgricultural abandonment has given rise to novel landscape dynamics worldwide. This paper investigates abandonment and post-abandonment dynamics in continental Portugal as a hotspot of landscape change. We mapped the spatial patterns and drivers of recent (1995–2018) land use changes in a remote mountainous region as post-abandonment trajectories, based on detailed land use/land cover data made available by the Portuguese government. We showed that ‘Revegetation’ trajectories, indicative of agricultural abandonment, were still widespread between 1995 and 2007. However, between 2007 and 2018, the landscape was much more stable with ‘Return to agriculture’ as the dominant change trajectory. To understand what drives landscape changes after abandonment, we explored the influence of a wide range of potential biogeophysical and socio-economic drivers on the observed trajectories. We contrasted different landscape outcomes in binary logistic regression models with the potential underlying drivers as independent variables. The regressions revealed that the most significant determinants of these alternating dynamics are existing land use, climate, slope, protection regime and accessibility. The results of the regressions are at times counterintuitive and give important indications of the changing spatio-temporal scales at which these variables exert influence on the landscape outcomes. However, the regression models’ limited accuracies highlight the need for deeper investigation of the socio-economic and historic context of the observed changes. Improved understanding of the (drivers of) alternative dynamics following agricultural abandonment can help inform policy decisions regarding agriculture and cultural landscape preservation.pt_PT
dc.description.sponsorshipL. Imbrechts received national funding by FCT, the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology, through individual research grant 2022.12731.BD. P. Verburg acknowledges funding support by the European Environment Agency and the European Union’s Horizon Europe Research and Innovation programme under Grant Agreement No 101060423 (LAMASUS) and No 101081177 (WILDCARD). J. Azevedo acknowledges funding by national funds through FCT/MCTES (PIDDAC): CIMO, UIDB/00690/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDB/00690/2020) and UIDP/00690/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/UIDP/00690/2020); and SusTEC, LA/P/0007/2020 (https://doi.org/10.54499/LA/P/0007/2020).pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationImbrechts, Lien; Azevedo, João C.; Verburg, Peter (2024). Trajectories and drivers signalling the end of agricultural abandonment in Trás-os-Montes, Portugal. Regional Environmental Change. ISSN 1436-3798. 24:159, p. 1-15pt_PT
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/s10113-024-02325-1pt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn1436-378X
dc.identifier.issn1436-3798
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/30514
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherSpringer Naturept_PT
dc.relationIn transition: post-abandonment landscapes in Trás-os-Montes, Portugal.
dc.relationMountain Research Center
dc.relationMountain Research Center
dc.relationAssociate Laboratory for Sustainability and Tecnology in Mountain Regions
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectLand use changept_PT
dc.subjectPost-abandonment trajectoriespt_PT
dc.subjectDriverspt_PT
dc.subjectAfforestationpt_PT
dc.subjectRecultivationpt_PT
dc.titleTrajectories and drivers signalling the end of agricultural abandonment in Trás-os-Montes, Portugalpt_PT
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleIn transition: post-abandonment landscapes in Trás-os-Montes, Portugal.
oaire.awardTitleMountain Research Center
oaire.awardTitleMountain Research Center
oaire.awardTitleAssociate Laboratory for Sustainability and Tecnology in Mountain Regions
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT//2022.12731.BD/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00690%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F00690%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/LA%2FP%2F0007%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.endPage15pt_PT
oaire.citation.issue4pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleRegional Environmental Changept_PT
oaire.citation.volume24pt_PT
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameAzevedo
person.givenNameJoão C.
person.identifier.ciencia-id3F1F-0829-5878
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3061-8261
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverye15b0e75-689e-4be0-942c-1958cfefdb0f
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