Orientador(es)
Resumo(s)
In this paper, we propose a sequentially participative model for planning in transboundary protected areas based
on the Analytical Hierarchy Process, Goal Programming and Monte Carlo simulation. The model was developed
with two scenarios: one determinist and another with simulations that provide a multi-level ranking of the most
relevant goals according stakeholders’ preferences to establish priorities in the planning of protected areas.
Moreover, the proposed methodology is capable of identifying conflicts, providing a comparison between the
most likely priorities and the most consistent group priorities associated with each planning goal. The model was
tested in a Portuguese-Spanish Reserve called Meseta Ibérica and it permitted the identification of the highest
conflicts in conservation, agroforestry, local development, fire prevention, wildlife conservation and certification
of local products. Moreover, it found strong intercountry conflicts related to development and planning goals
associated with governance at the most specific level.
Descrição
Palavras-chave
AHP Governance Group decision-making Multi-level planning Sequential Monte Carlo simulation
Contexto Educativo
Citação
Castro-Pardo, Mónica; Pérez-Rodríguez, Fernando; Martín-Martín, José María; Azevedo, João C. (2019). Modelling stakeholders’ preferences to pinpoint conflicts in the planning of transboundary protected areas. Land Use Policy. ISSN 0264-8377. 89, p. 1-11