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Similar patterns, different processes: Persistence and change in path-dependent land systems

2026Artigo científico Acesso aberto
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datacite.subject.fosCiências Agrárias::Agricultura, Silvicultura e Pescas
datacite.subject.fosCiências Sociais::Geografia Económica e Social
datacite.subject.fosCiências Sociais::Ciências Políticas
datacite.subject.sdg04:Educação de Qualidade
datacite.subject.sdg10:Reduzir as Desigualdades
dc.contributor.authorImbrechts, Lien
dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, João C.
dc.contributor.authorDossche, Rebekka
dc.contributor.authorBürgi, Matthias
dc.contributor.authorVerburg, Peter H.
dc.date.accessioned2026-07-07T10:15:28Z
dc.date.available2026-07-07T10:15:28Z
dc.date.issued2026
dc.description.abstractLarge-scale land use changes can lead to a fundamental reorganisation of the land and corresponding socioecological regime. These regime shifts are notably hard to detect, predict or model, often arising from unprecedented changes in technology, markets or policies. In a remote rural region in Portugal, we tracked the land use history in three parishes between 1899 and 2018, capturing multiple disruptive socioeconomic and political circumstances, to assess whether a regime shift was triggered. We used a causal historical approach that included the spatio-temporal mapping of LULC changes and a socioecological event timeline to track policy changes and other important events or circumstances. We used these, and other available (historic) literature, to contextualise local information provided in oral history interviews (OHI) that revealed land managers’ decision-making during the last 70 years. We found that during the Estado Novo dictatorship, productivism-based policies had a strong influence on the observed land use intensification, yet OHI revealed that the high level of self-sufficiency agriculture made alternative trajectories unlikely if not impossible. After the 1974 revolution, recalibration took place in the form of a rural exodus and associated land reorganisation, including tenure and production systems. Overall, semi-natural areas, which usually depend on grazing or pastoralism, strongly diminished, while natural and plantation forests expanded. Arable land areas remained relatively stable across the entire study period. Our study shows that land systems that have undergone disruptive changes in the past may continue to evolve discontinuously afterwards, without causing a socioecological regime shift or breaking path dependence.eng
dc.description.sponsorshipWe would like to thank Nuno de Santos Loureiro (University of Algarve, Portugal), Liliana Figueiredo, Miguel Coelho, and Maria Amador at Direção-Geral de Agricultura e Desenvolvimento Rural for their assistance with locating and processing the 1899 pranchetas corográfico-agrícolas. João Pires (Espinhosela), Dalila Valentim (Vila Chã de Braciosa), and Francisco Rodrigues & Carmen Teixeira Evaristo (Vilas Boas e Vilarinho das Azenhas) graciously helped us find potential respondents for the oral history interviews. Daniela Andrade, Joana Soares and Nuno Marques professionally filmed the interviews in Vila Chã de Braciosa to create a consented public record of the oral histories shared. We also thank two anonymous reviewers for their comments and suggestions. L. Imbrechts received national funding by FCT, Foundation for Science and Technology, through individual research grant 2022.12731.BD (DOI: 10.54499/2022.12731.BD) and CCDR-Norte Cultura (Projetos Pontuais/821). L. Imbrechts and R. Dossche received additional EU funding under Horizon Europe project 101078933 (STEP). P. Verburg acknowledges funding support by the European Environment Agency and the Horizon Europe Research and Innovation programme under Grant Agreement No 101060423 (LAMASUS) and No 101081177 (WILDCARD). J. Azevedo acknowledges funding by national funds through FCT/MCTES (PIDDAC): CIMO, UIDB/00690/2020 (DOI: 10.54499/UIDB/00690/2020) and UIDP/00690/2020 (DOI: 10.54499/ UIDP/00690/2020); and SusTEC, LA/P/0007/2020 (DOI: 10.54499/LA/P/0007/2020).
dc.identifier.citationImbrechts, Lien; Azevedo, João C.; Dossche, Rebekka; Bürgi, Matthias; Verburg, Peter H. (2026). Similar patterns, different processes: Persistence and change in path-dependent land systems. Land Use Policy. ISSN 0264-8377. 169, p. 1-12
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.landusepol.2026.108152
dc.identifier.issn0264-8377
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/36979
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relationIn transition: post-abandonment landscapes in Trás-os-Montes, Portugal.
dc.relationMountain Research Center - UIDB/00690/2020
dc.relationMountain Research Center - UIDP/00690/2020
dc.relationAssociate Laboratory for Sustainability and Tecnology in Mountain Regions - LA/P/0007/2020
dc.relation.ispartofLand Use Policy
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectLand use history
dc.subjectPath dependence
dc.subjectPolicy change
dc.subjectSocioecological systems
dc.titleSimilar patterns, different processes: Persistence and change in path-dependent land systemseng
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumber2022.12731.BD
oaire.awardNumberUIDB/00690/2020
oaire.awardNumberUIDP/00690/2020
oaire.awardNumberLA/P/0007/2020
oaire.awardTitleIn transition: post-abandonment landscapes in Trás-os-Montes, Portugal.
oaire.awardTitleMountain Research Center - UIDB/00690/2020
oaire.awardTitleMountain Research Center - UIDP/00690/2020
oaire.awardTitleAssociate Laboratory for Sustainability and Tecnology in Mountain Regions - LA/P/0007/2020
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT//2022.12731.BD/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F00690%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F00690%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/LA%2FP%2F0007%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.endPage12
oaire.citation.startPage1
oaire.citation.titleLand Use Policy
oaire.citation.volume169
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameAzevedo
person.givenNameJoão C.
person.identifier.ciencia-id3F1F-0829-5878
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3061-8261
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
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