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Modeling the COVID-19 post-pandemic spread

datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Matemáticas
datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
datacite.subject.sdg04:Educação de Qualidade
dc.contributor.authorBalsa, Carlos
dc.contributor.authorPadua, Everaldo
dc.contributor.authorPinto, Luan
dc.contributor.authorRufino, José
dc.date.accessioned2026-03-16T09:49:15Z
dc.date.available2026-03-16T09:49:15Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractWith the current recession of the global COVID-19 pandemic, the corresponding epidemic models need to be adapted to reflect this new reality and continue assisting public health authorities in the definition of policies and decision making. With that aim, this paper presents a deterministic SEIR epidemic model for the representation of the COVID-19 post-pandemic scenario. The model considers the effect of countermeasures such as vaccination and quarantine, and the consequences of the progressive loss of immunity. The preliminary evaluation results, with fixed parameters, point to a cyclic evolution of the pandemic and a tendency for stabilization in the future.por
dc.identifier.citationBalsa, Carlos; Padua, Everaldo; Pinto, Luan; Rufino, José (2023). Modeling the COVID-19 post-pandemic spread. In 3rd Symposium of Applied Science for Young Researchers (SASYR 2023). ISBN 978-972-745-325-2
dc.identifier.isbn978-972-745-325-2
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/36076
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherInstituto Politécnico de Bragança
dc.relationResearch Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://hdl.handle.net/10198/28843
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.subjectCOVID-19
dc.subjectPost-pandemic scenario
dc.subjectSEIR model
dc.titleModeling the COVID-19 post-pandemic spreadpor
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardNumberUIDP/05757/2020
oaire.awardTitleResearch Centre in Digitalization and Intelligent Robotics
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F05757%2F2020/PT
oaire.citation.conferenceDate2023
oaire.citation.endPage12
oaire.citation.startPage10
oaire.citation.title3rd Symposium of Applied Science for Young Researchers (SASYR 2023)
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameBalsa
person.familyNameRufino
person.givenNameCarlos
person.givenNameJosé
person.identifier1721518
person.identifier.ciencia-idDE1E-2F7A-AAB1
person.identifier.ciencia-idC414-F47F-6323
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2431-8665
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-1344-8264
person.identifier.ridM-8735-2013
person.identifier.scopus-author-id23391719100
person.identifier.scopus-author-id55947199100
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
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