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A meta-regression model of the growth rate of Listeria monocytogenes as affected by temperature

dc.contributor.authorSilva, Beatriz Nunes
dc.contributor.authorCadavez, Vasco
dc.contributor.authorEllouze, Mariem
dc.contributor.authorGonzales-Barron, Ursula
dc.date.accessioned2019-02-28T10:18:48Z
dc.date.available2019-02-28T10:18:48Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.description.abstractThe presence of L. monocytogenes in naturally-contaminated foods, its ability to endure various environmental stresses and grow at low temperatures and during the shelf life of some foods are great challenges for the food industry. To overcome this issue, predictive models can be used on the decision-making process in case of presumed contamination and possible growth of pathogens as they can assess bacterial levels before a control step is applied and evaluate if the process allows the pathogen’s inactivation or reduction to an acceptable level. In this sense, Cardinal Parameters Models (CPM) have been widely used to describe the effect of environmental factors on microbial growth rates. To be used, the determination of the parameters, known as cardinal values, is needed, but since experimental estimation is a laborious task, it is proposed here that meta-analysis of literature data could be useful to perform such assessments. This statistical analysis of results from published studies aims to integrate and interpret the findings to achieve an enlarged vision about the topic’s results. Suitable scientific articles were collected through search in several databases. Following study quality checking, 88 studies remained from which 3079 growth rates were extracted. To evaluate temperature’s effect on growth rates and estimate comprehensive cardinal values, meta-analysis was performed on a set of growth rates assessed at optimal conditions of pH (6.5-8) and aw (≥0.98). To appraise the share of the possible sources of variability, the CPM was also fitted on subsets of growth rates estimated using (i) distinct reading methods, (ii) distinct broth types and (iii) sub-optimal conditions of pH and aw. The pooled parameters from the optimal set were Tmin=-1.15±2.43 °C, Topt=37.42±2.00 °C, Tmax=45.20±0.37 °C and μopt=1.06±0.13 h-1. Regarding the possible sources of variability, it was concluded that the reading method (R2=24.8%) and the broth type (R2= 60.1%) used to estimate growth rates largely affect the estimation of cardinal values. Moreover, data at sub-optimal conditions, especially in food products, were found inadequate to assess cardinal values, unlike optimal conditions, as mean estimates changed and standard errors increased. The meta-analysis performed allowed the fitting of the CPM to growth rate data retrieved from scientific articles, showing that literature can be useful to assess cardinal values and to provide an insight on sources of variability.pt_PT
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationSilva, Beatriz; Cadavez, Vasco; Ellouze, Meriem; Gonzales-Barron, Ursula A. (2018). A meta-regression model of the growth rate of Listeria monocytogenes as affected by temperature. In FoodMicro 26th International ICFMH Conference. Berlinpt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/19032
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectMeta-analysispt_PT
dc.subjectCardinal parameters modelpt_PT
dc.subjectOptimal conditionspt_PT
dc.subjectBrothpt_PT
dc.titleA meta-regression model of the growth rate of Listeria monocytogenes as affected by temperaturept_PT
dc.typeconference object
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceBerlinpt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage281pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleFoodMicro 26th International ICFMH Conferencept_PT
person.familyNameSilva
person.familyNameCadavez
person.familyNameGonzales-Barron
person.givenNameBeatriz Nunes
person.givenNameVasco
person.givenNameUrsula
person.identifierR-000-HDG
person.identifier.ciencia-id3A1B-9D91-31B4
person.identifier.ciencia-id441B-01AB-A12E
person.identifier.ciencia-id0813-C319-B62A
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-7571-031X
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3077-7414
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8462-9775
person.identifier.ridA-3958-2010
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57207937268
person.identifier.scopus-author-id9039121900
person.identifier.scopus-author-id9435483700
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeconferenceObjectpt_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationc12f920a-966a-4627-b302-c91870f850ca
relation.isAuthorOfPublication57b410e9-f6b7-42ff-ab3d-b526278715eb
relation.isAuthorOfPublication17c6b98f-4fb5-41d3-839a-6f77ec70021a
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery57b410e9-f6b7-42ff-ab3d-b526278715eb

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