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Sovereign debt ratings and treasury bond yields: the before and after of the financial crisis

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Resumo(s)

The rating agencies are often among those accused of taking part in the sovereign debt instability that followed the financial crisis of 2008. This work intends to empirically analyse the influence of changes in the Portuguese sovereign debt rating, as attributed by the three main international rating agencies (Moody’s, S&P e Fitch), in the performance of mid to long-term treasury bond yields (2, 5 and 10 years) over the period between February 2003 and May 2012. Using simple and multiple linear regression models, estimated through the OLS method, and through the application of Chow’s test, the statistical evidence shows that the changes in sovereign debt rating have a negative and significant impact on the performance of treasury bond yields for all maturities studied and this influence is higher for the period after the sovereign debt crisis.

Descrição

Palavras-chave

Sovereign debt rating Long-term treasury bonds yields

Contexto Educativo

Citação

Monte, Ana Paula; Moutinho, Helena Mouta; Tavares, Leinivy (2014) . Sovereign debt ratings and treasury bond yields: the before and after of the financial crisis. In Wenty-First Annual Conference of the Multinational Finance Society. Praga

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Editora

Multinational Finance Society

Licença CC