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Sovereign debt ratings and treasury bond yields - the portuguese sovereign debt crisis

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Resumo(s)

The rating agencies are often among those accused of taking part in the sovereign debt instability that followed the financial crisis of 2008. This work intends to empirically analyse the influence of changes in the Portuguese sovereign debt rating, as attributed by the three main international rating agencies (Moody’s, S&P e Fitch), in the performance of mid to long-term treasury bond yields (2, 5 and 10 years) over the period between February 2003 and May 2012. Using simple and multiple linear regression models, estimated through the OLS method, and through the application of Chow’s test, the statistical evidence shows that the changes in sovereign debt rating have a negative and significant impact on the performance of treasury bond yields for all maturities studied and this influence is higher for the period after the sovereign debt crisis.

Descrição

Palavras-chave

Sovereign debt rating Long-term treasury bonds Yields

Contexto Educativo

Citação

Monte, Ana Paula; Tavares, Leinivy; Moutinho, Helena Mouta (2014). Sovereign debt ratings and treasury bond yields - the portuguese sovereign debt crisis. In XVIII Congreso Internacional de Investigación en Ciencias Administrativas - Administración, Gestión de la Innovación y Desarrollo Sustentable, Universidad Autónoma de Baja California (UABC), Campus Tijuana, Tijuana, B.C (México). p. 3836-3859. ISBN 978-0-9911261-6-3

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Fascículo

Editora

Academia de Ciencias Administrativas

Licença CC